How big is a ten point lead

In past elections the middle was thought to be 20 points, the pundits say that this election is much closer with only a 10 point middle. That means that each side gets their 45 points and both fight for the middle 10. Bush currently has every one of those ten points right now, and that's huge. Some polls show more, some less but that is an impossible hurdle for Kerry to overcome. The debates will not help him unless he does something spectacular and Bush simultaneously implodes. Neither will happen. Kerry might do better than Bush and that might mean a point or two but that is not going to be enough. If Bush fails at the debates he will have three weeks after they are over to regain what he might have lost to Kerry. Kerry has the same three weeks to come from way behind. It isn't going to happen. We could discuss the reasons to death but it is moot. It's over for Kerry and I sympathize with my Democrat friends who still hold out hope. I felt that Dole would win in 1996 right up until election night. He lost and so will Kerry, that's just the way it is.